Miami

michael^heaven · 09-06-2006, 06:43 AM

Let's start trackin'!!! 8)

SHORT RANGE
NOTHING YET, BUT ALL EYES EAST: MAYBE SOME 1 FT SURF WEDNESDAY THEN BACK TO NEAR FLAT THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. IF ALL GOES AS EXPECTED POSSIBLE 4.0-4.5 FT SURF LATE SUNDAY FROM FLORENCE.

CONDITIONS
OFFSHORES AND CLEAN CONDITIONS FOR WEDNEDAY AS A FRONT PASSES THROUGH. CALM AND CLEAN THURS AND FRIDAY MORNINGS. THEN A LIGHT NORTHEAST FLOW (5 KTS EARLY) AS FLORENCE STARTS HAVING MINOR EFFECTS LOCALLY SATURDAY UP TO 5-10 KTS SUNDAY MORNING.

LONG RANGE
Tropical Storm Florence to be approaching the Windwards Wednesday with a broad fetch of 50-55 kt east winds aimed well at the Bahamas and Central Florida. Seas to 19 ft. Swell generation potential on the increase. Florence to be upgraded to hurricane status Friday moving 240 nmiles north of Windwards with winds 70-75 kts and the swell angle aimed well at Central Florida. Still 19 ft seas to be tracking up into the Central Fla swell window. By Sunday Florence theoretically to be positioned north of Haiti and east of West Palm Beach with sustained winds 90 kts and starting to turn to the north, with fetch swinging away from the coast. Swell from previous days fetch arriving late and on the increase. Seas to 20 ft. The models suggest Florence to continue increasing in strength tracking north nudging up to the Northeast coast by Tuesday (9/12) but with no indication of moving onshore. But no strong high pressure is modeled to the north to stop it either, suggesting a turn to the north and northeast moving rapidly out of the picture. It's all a very long shot at this point with the latest satellite images not looking very impressive.

jbit · 09-06-2006, 08:56 AM

im definitely going to be sick a couple of days next week (cough, cough). looks like we might get jonsed by the bahama's this weekend but next week its on. Time for a road trip out of palm beach county for some real hurricane juice.

Oni · 09-06-2006, 10:56 AM

Doesn't look like much but i gotta tell you guys i had a nightmare last night that i was caught in a really nasty hurricane. 10 times worse than andrew.

jbit · 09-06-2006, 11:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ~Oni~

Doesn't look like much but i gotta tell you guys i had a nightmare last night that i was caught in a really nasty hurricane. 10 times worse than andrew.

yeah, it may not be the coup de gras of summer flatness but we'll take what we can get

michael^heaven · 09-08-2006, 07:37 AM

SHORT RANGE
ALL EYES ON FLORENCE: NEAR FLAT THROUGH SATURDAY THEN IF FLORENCE TRACKS AS EXPECTED POSSIBLE 4.0-4.5 FT SURF LATE SUNDAY BUILDING TO 6-7 FT MONDAY AM AND HOLDING IN THE 6 FT RANGE TUESDAY AT EXPOSED BREAKS.

CONDITIONS
CALM AND CLEAN THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THEN A LIGHT NORTHEAST FLOW (5 KTS) STARTS BUILDING AS FLORENCE'S INFLUENCE BUILDS LOCALLY, UP TO 5-10 KTS SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNINGS, AND UP TO 10-15 KTS TUESDAY WITH BUILDING MODERATE CHOP.

LONG RANGE
Tropical Storm Florence to be upgraded to hurricane status late Friday moving 240 miles north of Windwards with winds 65 kts and the swell angle aimed well at Central Florida. 25 ft seas to be tracking up into the Central Fla swell window. by Sunday Florence to be positioned north of Puerto Rico and east of Central Florida with sustained winds 90 kts and turning fully to the north, with fetch swinging away from the coast. Swell from previous days fetch arriving late and on the increase. Seas to 38 ft still aimed reasonably well towards Central Florida early. Florence to be off New England Tuesday with winds 90 kts and tracking north. A secondary gradient from high pressure over the Great Lakes to deflect Florence to the northeast but not before generating a large fetch of 40 kt winds aimed south towards Central Florida with 30 ft seas developing heading in that direction. Good potential for swell development. By late Tuesday Florence to be speeding off to the northeast with swell generation potential rapidly fading and high pressure building in behind it.

jbit · 09-08-2006, 08:55 AM

gonna have to use my get out of jail free card for work Monday

michael^heaven · 09-11-2006, 07:01 AM

Weekend wave review (NSB):

-Fri-->Knee to waist, then waist to chest by 1pm
-Sat-->Waist to chest, then chest to shoulder high w/head-high sets
-Sun-->Shoulder to head high w/overhead sets. Solid 6-8 ft by 4pm

michael^heaven · 09-12-2006, 01:08 AM

Swell continues to build!!!! ;D ;D ;D ;D

6-8 ft Monday w/occ. 9-10 ft sets. Me armages=Jellooooo!!!!

09-06-2006, 06:43 AM	#1 (permalink)
michael^heaven CoolJunkie Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 2,196	So Long Florence! Thanks for the lovely waves you left us!! Here's Gordon!!! Registered members do not see ads. Register or logon for a better view. Let's start trackin'!!! 8) SHORT RANGE NOTHING YET, BUT ALL EYES EAST: MAYBE SOME 1 FT SURF WEDNESDAY THEN BACK TO NEAR FLAT THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. IF ALL GOES AS EXPECTED POSSIBLE 4.0-4.5 FT SURF LATE SUNDAY FROM FLORENCE. CONDITIONS OFFSHORES AND CLEAN CONDITIONS FOR WEDNEDAY AS A FRONT PASSES THROUGH. CALM AND CLEAN THURS AND FRIDAY MORNINGS. THEN A LIGHT NORTHEAST FLOW (5 KTS EARLY) AS FLORENCE STARTS HAVING MINOR EFFECTS LOCALLY SATURDAY UP TO 5-10 KTS SUNDAY MORNING. LONG RANGE Tropical Storm Florence to be approaching the Windwards Wednesday with a broad fetch of 50-55 kt east winds aimed well at the Bahamas and Central Florida. Seas to 19 ft. Swell generation potential on the increase. Florence to be upgraded to hurricane status Friday moving 240 nmiles north of Windwards with winds 70-75 kts and the swell angle aimed well at Central Florida. Still 19 ft seas to be tracking up into the Central Fla swell window. By Sunday Florence theoretically to be positioned north of Haiti and east of West Palm Beach with sustained winds 90 kts and starting to turn to the north, with fetch swinging away from the coast. Swell from previous days fetch arriving late and on the increase. Seas to 20 ft. The models suggest Florence to continue increasing in strength tracking north nudging up to the Northeast coast by Tuesday (9/12) but with no indication of moving onshore. But no strong high pressure is modeled to the north to stop it either, suggesting a turn to the north and northeast moving rapidly out of the picture. It's all a very long shot at this point with the latest satellite images not looking very impressive. __________________ If you see someone without a smile, give them yours!

09-06-2006, 08:56 AM	#2 (permalink)
jbit CoolJunkie Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 1,293	Re:Florence 'oh Florence!!! im definitely going to be sick a couple of days next week (cough, cough). looks like we might get jonsed by the bahama's this weekend but next week its on. Time for a road trip out of palm beach county for some real hurricane juice. __________________ License and registration meow

09-06-2006, 10:56 AM	#3 (permalink)
Oni CoolJunkie Join Date: May 2003 Location: Adonde? Posts: 3,368	Re:Florence 'oh Florence!!! Doesn't look like much but i gotta tell you guys i had a nightmare last night that i was caught in a really nasty hurricane. 10 times worse than andrew. __________________ Indeed.

09-08-2006, 07:37 AM	#5 (permalink)
michael^heaven CoolJunkie Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 2,196	Re: SHORT RANGE ALL EYES ON FLORENCE: NEAR FLAT THROUGH SATURDAY THEN IF FLORENCE TRACKS AS EXPECTED POSSIBLE 4.0-4.5 FT SURF LATE SUNDAY BUILDING TO 6-7 FT MONDAY AM AND HOLDING IN THE 6 FT RANGE TUESDAY AT EXPOSED BREAKS. CONDITIONS CALM AND CLEAN THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THEN A LIGHT NORTHEAST FLOW (5 KTS) STARTS BUILDING AS FLORENCE'S INFLUENCE BUILDS LOCALLY, UP TO 5-10 KTS SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNINGS, AND UP TO 10-15 KTS TUESDAY WITH BUILDING MODERATE CHOP. LONG RANGE Tropical Storm Florence to be upgraded to hurricane status late Friday moving 240 miles north of Windwards with winds 65 kts and the swell angle aimed well at Central Florida. 25 ft seas to be tracking up into the Central Fla swell window. by Sunday Florence to be positioned north of Puerto Rico and east of Central Florida with sustained winds 90 kts and turning fully to the north, with fetch swinging away from the coast. Swell from previous days fetch arriving late and on the increase. Seas to 38 ft still aimed reasonably well towards Central Florida early. Florence to be off New England Tuesday with winds 90 kts and tracking north. A secondary gradient from high pressure over the Great Lakes to deflect Florence to the northeast but not before generating a large fetch of 40 kt winds aimed south towards Central Florida with 30 ft seas developing heading in that direction. Good potential for swell development. By late Tuesday Florence to be speeding off to the northeast with swell generation potential rapidly fading and high pressure building in behind it. __________________ If you see someone without a smile, give them yours!

09-08-2006, 08:55 AM	#6 (permalink)
jbit CoolJunkie Join Date: Jun 2004 Posts: 1,293	Re:Florence 'oh Florence!!! gonna have to use my get out of jail free card for work Monday __________________ License and registration meow

09-11-2006, 07:01 AM	#7 (permalink)
michael^heaven CoolJunkie Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 2,196	Re: Weekend wave review (NSB): -Fri-->Knee to waist, then waist to chest by 1pm -Sat-->Waist to chest, then chest to shoulder high w/head-high sets -Sun-->Shoulder to head high w/overhead sets. Solid 6-8 ft by 4pm __________________ If you see someone without a smile, give them yours!

09-12-2006, 01:08 AM	#8 (permalink)
michael^heaven CoolJunkie Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 2,196	Re: Swell continues to build!!!! ;D ;D ;D ;D 6-8 ft Monday w/occ. 9-10 ft sets. Me armages=Jellooooo!!!! __________________ If you see someone without a smile, give them yours!

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